Análise Técnica Bitcoin: BTC/USD Incapaz de quebrar resistência de $12k mas PlanB acredita que $20.000 está perto

  • Os touros Bitcoin correm para assegurar o apoio provisório de $11.800, após outra rejeição de $12.000.
  • O Plano B acredita que a próxima meta de alta da Bitcoin é 2017, o mais alto de todos os tempos.

A ação do preço da Crypto Genius tem sido mundana principalmente porque não foi capaz de superar o congestionamento do vendedor em $12.000.

Houve uma breve recuperação durante o fim de semana apoiada pelo apoio estabelecido no nível de retração Fibonacci 61,8% tomado entre a última alta de swing de US $ 12.084 para uma baixa de swing de US $ 11.120. Enquanto o ímpeto ultrapassou os $11.900, Bitcoin negociou uma alta de fim de semana de $11.945 antes de embarcar no retiro em curso.

No momento em que escrevo, Bitcoin está negociando a $11.819. A caça por maior apoio como começou, de preferência $11.800. O Índice de Força Relativa (RSI) também está no meio de um retiro da alta do fim de semana de 57. Se o movimento sob a linha média continuar e o RSI se aproximar dos 30 (sobre-vendido), podemos esperar que o BTC/USD estenda a perna em baixa para menos de $11.800.

BTC/USD Gráfico de 1 hora

No entanto, também é provável que a consolidação ocorra, especialmente com o MACD agarrado à linha média (0,00). Uma acção de preços de negociação lateral seria bem-vinda pelos touros porque lhes dá tempo suficiente para assegurar áreas de apoio formidáveis, enquanto se concentram na próxima corrida para acima dos $12.000.

De acordo com o Plano B, um analista pseudônimo o modelo stock-to-flow (S2F) mostra que Bitcoin ainda está em uma fase de alta e que o próximo alvo da ação de preço atual é 2017, o máximo de todos os tempos perto de $20.000. Por enquanto, toda a atenção é canalizada para o estabelecimento de uma área de suporte formidável mais alta e para a superação do obstáculo de $12.000.

Níveis Bitcoin Intraday

  • Taxa de Spot: $11.851
  • Mudança relativa: -67
  • Variação percentual: -0,56
  • Tendência: Bearish
  • Volatilidade: Alta

Een mogelijk toekomstig gebruik voor bitcoin? Russische bank geeft lening uit met cryptocurrency als onderpand voor de eerste keer

Een Russische bank heeft voor het eerst in de geschiedenis een lening verstrekt die door cryptocurrency wordt gedekt, wat een nieuwe mijlpaal betekent in de geschiedenis van de controversiële digitale alternatieven voor de bestaande financiële instrumenten.
De lening, uitgegeven door Expobank aan zakenman Mikhail Uspensky, gebruikte de valuta die bekend staat als ‚golven‘ als onderpand. Het werd in 2016 opgericht door de Oekraïense ondernemer Alexander Ivanov. Het bedrag van de lening en de voorwaarden van de overeenkomst zijn echter niet openbaar gemaakt.

Cryptokringen zoals golven en Bitcoin Lifestyle bevonden zich tot voor kort in een legale grijze zone binnen Rusland. Eerder dit jaar heeft de Russische president Vladimir Poetin een wet ondertekend die het kopen en verkopen van crypto officieel toestaat, maar deze niet als wettig betaalmiddel erkent. Daarom worden alle cryptocentrische activa die als onderpand worden gebruikt, beschouwd als „andere eigendommen“, in plaats van fictieve valuta.

„Voor de eerste keer in Rusland werd een gestructureerde transactie met behulp van een digitaal actief uitgevoerd met de deelname van een bank“, aldus een verklaring van Expobank. „De lener kreeg een lening, gedekt door blokkeringspenningen.“

Alexander Zhuravlyov, de managing partner van het EDR advocatenkantoor, die de bank adviseerde over de transactie, merkte op dat crypto-assets kunnen worden gebruikt als onderpand, omdat ze kunnen worden ingewisseld voor echte valuta. „Dit is een belangrijke fase voor cryptocurrencies in Rusland, omdat het laat zien dat digitale activa op grote schaal kunnen worden gebruikt en toegepast in het echte leven,“ zei hij.

Een andere advocaat, Yuri Brisov, vertelde de Russische krant RBK dat er geen twijfel bestaat over de rechtmatigheid van de lening, omdat „beperkingen op de circulatie van niet-betalingspenningen niet bestaan“.

Expobank, die gevestigd is in Moskou en eigendom is van econoom Igor Kim, werd eerder gecontroleerd door de Britse bank Barclays.

Bitcoin whales can tell us what will happen with the BTC rally

Bitcoin has recently increased in value. It slowly seems to be approaching its historical high, but some analysts agree that the $12,000 to $14,000 range is a key area for Bitcoin in the short term, especially when it comes to the action of Bitcoin whales in a possible BTC rally.

In this article we will take as a reference the analysis made by David Puell. He took as a reference the last Bitcoin cycle in the last four years.

Bitcoin price (BTC) starts the week off on the right foot

What role do Bitcoin whales play in this bullish rally?
According to Puell, the whales were major buyers of Bitcoin while it was in the $9,000 to $12,000 range. So those Bitcoin whales that bought BTC at $9,000 are making relatively high profits right now. Likewise, those that bought while it was a little higher are now at break-even point.

What would Bitcoin whales do in the face of a possible BTC rally? Especially if it goes above $12,000 and $14,000.
So, if Bitcoin takes off above this level, we’ll see many of these whales selling their currencies to make a profit in the short term. All of this leads us to wonder what these buyers might do by the time Bitcoin takes off.

Some people suggest that it’s more profitable for them to let Bitcoin continue its bullish run. But others suggest that they will simply sell and a price correction will occur.

What arguments do you have at this point?

According to Puell’s study, the data supports arguments for both a reversal and a continuation of the rally.

For example, if the whales bought at $9,000 and $12,000, they may want to make a profit if Bitcoin rises above these levels. They have waited a long time for this, after a rather static June and part of July in terms of significant price movements.

However, if the whales are profitable and at the break-even point right now, it may be better for them to let the rally go on. Puell said he expects a build-up phase to occur in the region from US$10,000 after the BTC move to US$12,000 or US$14,000. This is in case a correction occurs before the rally continues.

In addition, at CryptTrend we have been constantly monitoring the activity of Bitcoin whales. With this we can also support some of Puell’s conclusions, because since the beginning of August, when BTC finally broke the US$ 10,000 barrier, the Bitcoin accumulation shot up.

However, Puell made sure to establish that it is the current context of the Bitcoin market that has set the tone for 2020, unlike the cycles he compared it to. In this context, the protagonist is the COVID-19 pandemic and the effects it has had.

Winklevoss Brothers claim to have $2 billion thanks to Bitcoin

Conclusion
In view of the special market conditions this year, the consequences cannot be guaranteed to be normal either. Puell therefore warns that the market structures in this Bitcoin Trader cycle can be quite distinctive.

But this does not mean that we are blind in the field. On the contrary, there are some indicators or variables that can give us a clue to possible Bitcoin scenarios in the short and medium term.

For example, you can always take a look at the correlation index of Bitcoin’s price with other assets such as gold or traditional stocks.

Also, you can’t neglect to keep track of fiscal measures being taken around the world, especially in the last months of the year. And finally, we invite you to keep up with our summaries of crypto whale activities by using Whale Alert.